Here’s the California voter paradox: The state has done nearly everything right on paper, and nearly nothing is working in practice.
Over the past decade, California pushed through sweeping changes meant to make voting frictionless. Mail-in ballots arrive automatically. You can register on Election Day. Voting centers replaced confusing neighborhood polling places. Ballot drop boxes sit on corners like convenient ATMs for democracy. The state’s 2016 Voter’s Choice Act promised to supercharge turnout, especially among younger voters and communities of color. Yet when researchers at the Public Policy Institute of California examined the actual numbers in 2025, they found something deflating:“turnout did not consistently improve or worsen for any racial or ethnic group.”
The math is brutal. In the 2024 presidential election, turnout hit 71%—five points lower than 2004, when fewer accessibility features existed. The 2022 midterms landed at 51%, identical to the midterm turnout from 2002. A decade of institutional effort, and the needle barely budged.
Meanwhile, the changes did produce one unintended consequence: slower ballot counting. California now counts ballots slower than nearly every other major state. The percentage of ballots tabulated within two days of Election Day dropped from 81% in 2004 to 66% in 2024. That glacial pace has handed critics—including President Donald Trump—a gift. The state’s newly enacted budget includes $29 million to speed up the count, a tacit admission that something isn’t working.
The real problem, experts suggest, isn’t mechanics—it’s motivation. Mindy Romero, director of the Center for Inclusive Democracy, pointed out the obvious:“We haven’t seen significant jumps in turnout. We still have very significant disparity in turnout with race and ethnicity. The numbers don’t lie.”California still skews older, whiter, and more affluent among its actual voters, even though the state itself is far more diverse. Whites comprise 36% of California’s adult population but 50% of likely voters. Latinos make up 38% of adults but only 29% of likely voters.
Kim Alexander, president of the California Voter Foundation, identified the real obstacles: misinformation, voter skepticism about election integrity, the sheer complexity of California’s ballots with dozens of overlapping races and initiatives, and the fact that primary elections feel optional to many people. Bob Page, Orange County’s registrar of voters, nailed it:“The public’s level of trust in government and institutions, who and what’s on the ballot and how well-financed their get-out-the-vote campaigns are, have a much greater impact on voter participation than the election model used.”
California has 23 million registered voters—more than any other state—and that number keeps climbing. Making voting easier didn’t create more voters; it just made counting harder. What the state actually needs isn’t another system overhaul. It’s candidates and parties willing to do the hard work of genuinely connecting with people who’ve tuned out, and it needs to rebuild trust in elections themselves. Neither of those things can be engineered by policy alone.
About the Author
Andrew Johnson
Andrew Johnson is a contributor to LocalBeat, covering local news and community stories.






